Miami Marlins at Cleveland Indians Free Pick

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The Cleveland Indians will look to avoid their fourth straight loss as they play host to the Miami Marlins at Progressive Field. This interleague matchup will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox SportsNet Florida to catch the game.

Miami Marlins vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

The Indians are 12-10 straight up (SU) and 9-12 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.4 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Marlins have gone 7-16 SU this year and are 9-13 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 7.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 6.8 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Cleveland games have an 11-10 over/under record so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 10-11-1.

The right-handed Sandy Alcantara is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. Alcantara is 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Indians will put the ball in the right hand of Jefry Rodriguez (0-1, 3.18 ERA), who’s got three strikeouts and zero walks this season as well as a 0.88 WHIP. Rodriguez only made one start against the Marlins in 2018 (0-0, 6.43 ERA and five strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.16 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 11.5. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The Cleveland hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .220/.321/.304 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Indians’ offense has been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and outfielder Leonys Martin. Santana is slashing .362/.494/.478 with 25 hits, 13 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Martin is batting .253 with 20 hits, six RBIs and 12 runs.

For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.29 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.86 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.78, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

Marlins hitters have slashed .217/.281/.330 on their way to 2.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Miami’s offense has been sparked by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .258/.313/.337 with 23 hits, six RBIs and eight runs scored, while Anderson (.244/.347/.366) is up to 20 hits, two homers, four RBIs and five runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.1 units and are 6-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to eight that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 2.4 units and are 7-9 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to nine that went under.

Marlins at Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Miami has recorded 10 extra-base hits over its last five games. Cleveland has six XBH over its last five.
  • Each team has hit seven home runs over its last 10 games.
  • The Marlins have a team OPS of .611 this season and an OPS of .604 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .623 overall and .625 against righties.
  • Cleveland has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.2 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have won three of their last four games SU.