The Miami Marlins will be taking on the Cincinnati Reds in a Wednesday showdown. This NL matchup will begin at 6:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will televise the game.
Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Miami (+135) is entering this game as the underdog to Cincinnati (-145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-160) and Reds -1.5 runs (+140).
The Marlins are 3-8 SU and have gone 5-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.8 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 1.3 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 2-8 SU and 4-5 ATS. The team’s lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Reds games have an over/under record of 2-7 so far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 5-4-1.
The right-handed Trevor Richards (0-1, 3.00 ERA) will get the ball for the visiting Marlins. Richards struck out 130 hitters over 126 innings last year (with 54 walks) while finishing the season 4-9 overall with a 4.42 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP.
The Reds are going with righty Tyler Mahle (0-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starter. Mahle struck out 110 hitters in 112 innings last year (23 starts), while finishing the season 7-9 overall with a 4.98 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 3.4 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.02 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.74 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 7.5 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .234/.296/.468 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and catcher Tucker Barnhart have led the way for the Reds’ offense this year. Suarez is slashing .258/.378/.516 with eight hits, four RBIs and three runs scored, while Barnhart’s line sits at .333/.467/.417 with eight hits, zero RBIs and four runs.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.88 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.24 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.59, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K/9 of 10.70.
Marlins hitters have slashed .228/.286/.362 on their way to 3.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Miami’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and right fielder Lewis Brinson. Castro is slashing .273/.289/.432 with 12 hits, four RBIs and six runs scored, while Brinson is hitting .275/.293/.350 with 11 hits, two RBIs and three runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.1 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 7.7 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to seven that went under.
Marlins vs. Reds MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
- The Marlins went 5-2 SU against the Reds last season.
- The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games SU.
- The Reds’ bullpen recorded 3.97 ERA against the Marlins last year.