Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Free Pick

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The Boston Red Sox will play host to the Detroit Tigers at Fenway Park. Fox Sports Detroit will broadcast this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Boston (receiving -200 odds) is the giant favorite against Detroit and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at -120 for taking the Tigers +1.5 runs and +100 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.

The Tigers have gone 12-10 SU this year and are 11-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, despite having lost 0.4 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 9-15 SU and 6-16 ATS. They’ve lost 12.1 units for moneyline bettors and 11.9 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Boston games have an over/under record of 12-9-1 so far in 2019. Detroit has been a decent under bet with a total record of 7-13.

Right-hander Tyson Ross is the probable starter for the visiting Tigers. Ross is 1-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 17 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Red Sox are turning to Eduardo Rodriguez (1-2, 7.20 ERA). Rodriguez has 21 strikeouts and seven walks, along with a WHIP of 1.65. Rodriguez only made one start against the Tigers in 2018 (1-0, 1.59 ERA and five strikeouts across 5.2 innings).

As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have yielded 5.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 6.22, a WHIP of 1.56 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.87 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 10.4 K/9.

The Boston offense is putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .240/.339/.419 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Red Sox batters have been led by outfielder J.D. Martinez and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Martinez is hitting .330/.422/.523 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Bogaerts is batting .286 with four homers, 13 RBIs and 14 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.13 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.39, along with a K-per-9 of 8.96.

Tigers hitters have slashed .230/.303/.366 on their way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led Detroit’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .280/.368/.329 with 23 hits, seven RBIs and seven runs scored. Castellanos is slashing .244/.294/.372 with 19 hits, four RBIs and 10 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 1.1 units and are 0-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 7.5 units and are 5-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to six that went under the total.

Tigers vs. Red Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Detroit has recorded 26 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • The Tigers have a total OPS of .670 this season and an OPS of .678 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .694 overall and .703 against lefties.
  • Detroit has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.0 over its last five.