Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Free Pick

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The Cleveland Indians will be taking the field against their divisional rival Detroit Tigers in a Wednesday matinee. Fox Sports Detroit will showcase the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Odds

Detroit (receiving +140 odds) is the home-team underdog against Cleveland and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Indians -1.5 runs (-105) and Tigers +1.5 runs (-115).

The Indians have gone 7-3 SU this year and are 4-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.1 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the season, despite having lost 1.5 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 7-4 SU and 7-3 ATS. They’ve gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.9 units ATS.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 2-8 so far in 2019. The Indians have an over/under record of 4-5.

Trevor Bauer (1-0, 0.64 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Bauer struck out 221 hitters in 175 innings last year (27 starts) and finished the season 12-6 overall with a 2.21 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. He made four starts against Detroit in 2018 and put together a 4-0 record against the Tigers with a 1.23 ERA and 40 strikeouts.

The Tigers have tabbed lefty Matthew Boyd (0-1, 3.18 ERA) as their starter. Boyd recorded 159 strikeouts over 170 innings last year (31 starts), while finishing the season 9-13 overall with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. He recorded three starts against Cleveland a year ago and put up a 0-1 record with a 5.28 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

Detroit’s pitching staff has yielded 3.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 2.45, a WHIP of 0.96 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.5. The bullpen has a 2.95 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In four games against AL Central opponents, Tigers starters have an ERA of 3.10 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.02.

Detroit’s hitters are putting up 2.6 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .206/.309/.335 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera have paced the Tigers’ hitters so far. Castellanos is slashing .286/.375/.429 with 12 hits, two RBIs and seven runs scored, and Cabrera’s line sits at .263/.391/.289 with 10 hits and three RBIs.

In the visiting dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starters own a 2.81 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 12.64 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.37, along with a K/9 of 9.20.

The Indians offense has yet to get things going, slashing only .189/.272/.316 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

First baseman Carlos Santana and right fielder Tyler Naquin have led Cleveland’s offense. Santana is hitting .371/.436/.514 with 13 hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored. Naquin (.308/.308/.423) is up to eight hits, one RBI and two runs scored.

The Indians have lost 0.8 units and are 1-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to zero that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 6.3 units and are 7-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to eight that’ve cashed the under.

Indians at Tigers MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in five of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Indians have a total OPS of .588 this season, including an OPS of .603 against left-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .569 overall and .677 against lefties.
  • Cleveland has posted 15.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.2 over its last five.
  • The Indians have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.