The Cincinnati Reds are heading west to face their NL Central foe St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast the matchup.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Vegas is listing St. Louis (-155) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+145). If you think the game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering even money odds (+100). Taking the over will give you -120 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -150 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +130 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs.
The Reds are 10-14 SU and have gone 14-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.8 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, despite having gained 3.9 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 15-9 SU and 15-9 ATS. The team has gained 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
St. Louis games have an over/under record of 14-8-2 so far in 2019. Cincinnati has been a good under bet with a total record of 5-18.
The right-handed Anthony DeSclafani is getting the start for the visiting Reds. DeSclafani is 0-1 with a 5.59 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against St. Louis this year.
The Cardinals are turning to righty Miles Mikolas (2-1, 4.97 ERA), who has 15 punchouts and seven walks, along with a WHIP of 1.21. Mikolas is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.80 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.36 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 14 games against divisional foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 5.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.83.
The St. Louis hitters have produced 5.7 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .329/.403/.494 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
The Cardinals’ offense has been led by shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. DeJong is slashing .343/.398/.626 with five home runs, 12 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line sits at .281/.373/.594 with nine homers, 19 RBIs and 19 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.15 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.07 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.38, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K-per-9 of 9.25.
The Reds offense has slashed .200/.275/.368 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this season, including 2.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is slashing .244/.359/.500 with five home runs, 12 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .274/.318/.371 with one homers, four RBIs and five runs scored.
The Reds have lost 5.0 units and are 10-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to 14 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 6.5 units and are 13-7 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.
Reds vs. Cardinals MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of St. Louis’ last seven games.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .644 this season and an OPS of .626 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .821 overall and .848 versus righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 14.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.8 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 18 over their last 10.
