The red-hot Milwaukee Brewers will go for their sixth straight win as they play host to the Chicago Cubs at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and WGN will showcase the action.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Chicago (+110) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-120). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Cubs +1.5 runs (-190) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+165).
The Brewers are 6-1 straight up (SU) and 2-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.0 units ATS. The Cubs have gone 1-5 SU this year and are 1-4 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 4.7 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have a 2-4-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 4-0-1.
Jose Quintana (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. The southpaw Quintana struck out 158 hitters across 174 innings last year (32 starts) but finished the season 13-11 overall with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. He made seven starts against the Brewers in 2018 and compiled a 4-1 record against them with a 2.13 ERA and 37 strikeouts.
The Brewers are going with righty Brandon Woodruff (1-0, 3.60 ERA) as their starter. Woodruff struck out 47 hitters across 42 innings last year (4 starts). Woodruff finished the season 3-0 overall with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.17, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 12.3. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.73, a WHIP of 0.99 and a K/9 of 9.2. In seven games against NL Central opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.73.
The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .228/.346/.377 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the way for the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich has nine hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored, while Cain is batting .320 with eight hits, zero RBIs and five runs scored.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 7.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.46 ERA, 1.96 WHIP and 7.71 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 8.86, along with a WHIP of 1.96 and a K-per-9 of 10.97.
The Cubs offense has slashed .307/.399/.484 on its way to 6.0 runs scored per game this year.
Chicago’s hitters have been led by shortstop Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo. Baez is hitting .296/.321/.630 with eight hits, seven RBIs and six runs scored, while Rizzo (.286/.464/.571) is up to six hits, two homers, five RBIs and five runs scored.
The Cubs have lost 4.0 units and are 0-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
Cubs at Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The Brewers went 9-11 SU against the Cubs in 2018.
- The Cubs’ bullpen managed an ERA of 3.25 against the Brewers last year.
- The Cubs have a team OPS of .883 this season and an OPS of .988 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .747 overall and their lefty-righty split is nearly identical.
