The Chicago Cubs will take on the Miami Marlins in a Wednesday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast this NL showdown.
Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+155) is the home-team underdog to Chicago (-165) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total now sit at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Runline odds stand at -115 for betting the Cubs -1.5 runs and -105 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Cubs have gone 7-9 SU this year and are 6-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.4 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season and 5.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 4-14 SU and 7-10 ATS. They’ve lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 9-7-1 so far in 2019. Chicago has been a decent over bet with a total record of 10-4-1.
Cole Hamels will get the start for the visiting Cubs. The left-handed Hamels is 2-0 with a 3.79 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the right hand of Sandy Alcantara (1-1, 4.24 ERA, 1.53 WHIP), who’s got 12 strikeouts and seven walks. Alcantara did not re a start against the Cubs in 2018.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.29 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Miami’s offense is putting up 2.7 runs per contest, including 2.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .229/.289/.341 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is hitting .225/.276/.324 with 16 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, while Rojas has produced a line of .304/.365/.391 with 14 hits, six RBIs and five runs.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.44 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.43, along with a WHIP of 1.48.
The Cubs offense has slashed .271/.365/.457 on its way to 6.1 runs scored per game this season, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Chicago’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Javier Baez and right fielder Jason Heyward. Baez is hitting .314/.342/.600 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Heyward (.362/.458/.638) has produced four homers, 10 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
The Cubs have lost 5.4 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.9 units and are 3-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under.
Cubs vs. Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Chicago has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Miami has 10 XBH over its last five.
- The Cubs have a total OPS of .822 this season and an OPS of .838 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .621 overall and .595 against righties.
- The Cubs have won four of their last five games SU while the Marlins have dropped eight of their last nine.
- Miami has posted 15.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.
- The Cubs have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.
