Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Betting Preview

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The Boston Red Sox will be taking the field against their divisional rival New York Yankees in a Wednesday showdown. The action will be nationally televised on ESPN and the game gets underway 6:35 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Odds

New York (-120) is favored over Boston (+110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-190) and Yankees -1.5 runs (+165).

The Yankees are 7-9 straight up (SU) and 7-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.2 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Red Sox are 6-12 SU and have gone 3-14 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 13.3 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the year and 12.3 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 8-7 so far in 2019. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 10-6-1.

Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is the probable starter for Boston. Eovaldi is 0-0 with an 8.40 ERA and 10 strikeouts. This is his first start against New York this year. He made four starts against the Yankees in 2018, posting a 1-1 record against them with a 1.93 ERA and 18 strikeouts.

The Yankees are putting the ball in the left hand of J.A. Happ (0-2, 8.76 ERA, 1.95 WHIP), who has 13 strikeouts and five walks. Happ made four starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 1-1 record in 2018, compiling a 1-1 record with a 1.99 ERA and 29 strikeouts.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.90, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.59 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. In seven divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 3.23 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.63.

New York’s offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 7.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .255/.317/.438 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Yankees’ hitters have been led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is hitting .377/.433/.472 with 20 hits, eight RBIs and 10 runs scored, while the line for Torres stands at .290/.343/.548 with 18 hits, six RBIs and 11 runs.

For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 6.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 7.18 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.78, along with a WHIP of 1.67.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .229/.303/.372 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Boston’s hitters have been led by left fielder J.D. Martinez and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Martinez is hitting .338/.408/.544 with 23 hits, nine RBIs and nine runs scored, while Bogaerts is hitting .300/.394/.500 with 18 hits, two homers, eight RBIs and 11 runs scored.

The Red Sox have lost 2.5 units and are 1-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, as opposed to one that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 7.8 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to five that went under the total.

Red Sox vs. Yankees MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Boston has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have a total OPS of .675 this season, including an OPS of .700 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS stands at .811 overall and .651 against lefties.
  • The Red Sox have dropped three of their last four games SU.
  • New York has posted 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.8 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 23 over their last 10.