The Baltimore Orioles will head west to face off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The game gets underway 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will broadcast this AL matchup.
Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Baltimore (+170) as the underdog to Minnesota (-180). If you think this game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -110 odds. Taking the over will give you -110 odds. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -130 for betting the Orioles +1.5 runs and +110 for the Twins -1.5 runs.
The Twins are 13-9 straight up (SU) and 10-12 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 4.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.8 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Orioles are 10-16 SU and have gone 11-15 ATS. Overall, the club has gained 3.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, but have lost 4.5 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Minnesota games have had an over/under record of 13-9 so far in 2019. Baltimore has been a decent over bet with a total record of 17-9.
Alex Cobb will get the start for Baltimore. The right-handed Cobb is 0-1 with an 11.88 ERA and six strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 30.38 ERA against Minnesota this year.
The Twins are sending lefty Martin Perez (2-0, 5.31 ERA) to the mound. Perez has 19 strikeouts and 12 walks to his credit, along with a 1.77 WHIP. Perez is 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.63, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.90 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters are putting up 5.5 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .275/.316/.549 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is slashing .366/.424/.695 with five home runs, 10 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Rosario’s line sits at .276/.323/.678 with 10 homers, 23 RBIs and 17 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.48 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 6.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.61, along with a WHIP of 1.41.
The Orioles offense has slashed .244/.310/.407 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Baltimore’s offensive production has been fueled by outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is hitting .337/.391/.606 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Villar is hitting .274/.342/.425 with three homers, 10 RBIs, 18 runs and six stolen bases.
The Orioles have lost 1.5 units and are 2-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to three that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 5.6 units and are 10-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve cashed the under.
Orioles at Twins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Baltimore has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five games. Minnesota has 26 XBH over its last five.
- The Orioles have an OPS of .717 this season, including an OPS of .712 against left-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .827 overall and .763 against lefties.
- Minnesota has posted 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.8 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
