The Milwaukee Brewers will go for their fourth straight victory when they play host to the Atlanta Braves at Miller Park. This NL matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the game.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Each team has been friendly to bettors this year this year. The Brewers are 51-35 straight up (SU) and 47-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.3 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Braves have gone 49-36 SU this year and are 45-38 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 18.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.1 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 35-47-3 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 41-38-4.
Max Fried will get the nod for the Braves. The left-handed Fried is 1-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers will turn to righty Jhoulys Chacin (6-3, 3.71 ERA), who has 76 strikeouts and 43 walks as well as a 1.34 WHIP. Chacin made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-2 record in 2017, putting together a 0-2 record with a 3.75 ERA and seven strikeouts.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.90, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.03, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 10.5.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .210/.285/.364 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the charge for the Brewers’ offense this year. Cain is hitting .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Yelich is hitting .288 with 11 homers, 34 RBIs, 52 runs and 10 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.47 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a K-per-9 of 9.03.
The Braves offense has slashed .260/.330/.426 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Right fielder Nick Markakis and second baseman Ozzie Albies have paced Atlanta’s hitters. Markakis is hitting .322/.389/.493 with 10 home runs, 58 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Albies is hitting .278/.319/.510 with 18 homers, 49 RBIs, 66 runs and eight stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 14.3 units and are 33-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 2.8 units and are 6-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to eight that went under.
Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
- The over has cashed in four of Atlanta’s last seven contests.
- The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- Atlanta has recorded 25.0 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.