Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Betting Preview

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The Miami Marlins are traveling north to Nationals Park to face their NL East foe Washington Nationals. The matchup will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds

Vegas has listed Miami (+300) as the dog to Washington (-375). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 7.5 runs and -110 for under 7.5. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +150 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -170 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.

The Marlins have gone 48-75 SU this year and are 62-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.1 units for moneyline bettors and 13.5 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 61-61 SU and 58-63 ATS. They’ve lost 23.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.9 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.

Nationals games have had an over/under record of 50-68-3 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 61-58-4.

Dan Straily is getting the start for Miami. The right-handed Straily (4-5, 4.42 ERA) has racked up 85 strikeouts in 97.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).

The Nationals are going with righty Max Scherzer (15-5, 2.19 ERA), who has 227 punchouts and 40 walks, as well as a 0.88 WHIP. Scherzer is 3-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 3.43 ERA across three starts against Miami this year.

Washington’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.90 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.81 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 49 games against NL East foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.35 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.19.

The Washington hitters have put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .219/.286/.355 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ batters this year. Turner is hitting .269/.339/.411 with 14 home runs, 49 RBIs, 74 runs and 32 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line is .294/.353/.505 with 16 homers, 59 RBIs and 56 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.63 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.15, along with a K/9 of 8.13.

The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.306/.358 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Miami’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .281/.329/.400 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 66 runs scored. Anderson (.278/.357/.403) has produced nine homers, 54 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.9 units and are 44-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 45 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 6.8 units and are 45-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 35 of those games, compared to 50 that went under the total.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • The under has hit in three of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games SU.
  • Miami has posted 15.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 15.8 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 10 over their last 10.