Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Matchup

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are paying a visit to Marlins Park to face off against their division rival Miami Marlins. Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Odds

Atlanta (-170) is coming into this one as the favorite over Miami (+160) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -120 for the Braves -1.5 runs and +100 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.

The Marlins are 65-62 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 51-77 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 3.3 units for moneyline bettors and 11.3 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Braves have gone 71-55 SU this year and are 65-59 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 19.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.0 units ATS.

Marlins games have had an over/under record of 64-59-4 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 59-60-5.

Sean Newcomb is getting the nod for Atlanta. The southpaw Newcomb is 10-6 with a 3.73 ERA and 123 strikeouts. He’s 3-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 1.00 ERA against Miami this year (three starts).

The Marlins are turning to Elieser Hernandez (2-6, 5.08 ERA), who has 39 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Hernandez is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.13 ERA against Atlanta this year.

As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.55, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 54 games against NL East opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.61.

The Miami offense has produced 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .296/.361/.485 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Castro is slashing .287/.338/.405 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 70 runs scored, and Anderson’s line sits at .278/.357/.398 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.54 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.59 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.15, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K-per-9 of 9.18.

The Braves offense has slashed .260/.327/.425 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

First baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis have led Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is slashing .319/.401/.527 with 20 home runs, 78 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Markakis is hitting .313/.375/.482 with 14 homers, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 0.2 units and are 19-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters.

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Miami has recorded 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.4 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 games.