Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Free Preview

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will face their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will broadcast the action and the game will get underway at 7:35 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (-230) is favored against Miami (+210) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -125 for the over and +105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -105 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -115 for the Braves -1.5.

The Braves are 67-51 straight up (SU) and 61-55 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 20.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.8 units (ATS). The Marlins, on the other hand, are 48-74 SU and have gone 62-59 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 11.2 units ATS.

Braves games have a 57-54-5 over/under record in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 60-57-4.

Right-hander Jose Urena is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Urena (3-12, 4.74 ERA) has racked up 104 strikeouts in 129 innings so far. He’s 0-3 with 11 strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Atlanta this year (three starts).

The Braves are sending righty Kevin Gausman (6-9, 4.27 ERA) to the mound. Gausman has 114 punchouts and 34 walks to his name, as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Gausman is 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA in one start against Miami this year.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 58 games against divisional opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.13 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.96.

The Atlanta hitters have put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .322/.366/.602 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Braves’ offense has been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .324/.386/.503 with 14 home runs, 76 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Freeman’s line sits at .320/.400/.536 with 20 homers, 75 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.63 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.16, along with a K/9 of 8.17.

Marlins hitters have slashed .240/.307/.359 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Miami’s offense has been fueled by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .281/.330/.395 with nine home runs, 43 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Anderson is slashing .278/.357/.405 with nine homers, 53 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 0.9 units and are 44-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 19.8 units and are 45-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 37 that went under the total.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes,

  • The under has hit in just two of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.
  • Atlanta has recorded 27 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 29 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 18 over their last 10.