Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will do battle against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Marlins Park. This NL matchup will begin at 12:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona to catch the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Arizona (-170) is the favorite over Miami (+160) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (-120) and Marlins +1.5 runs (+100).

The Marlins are 42-38 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 32-49 straight up (SU). The team has gained 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.7 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are 46-34 SU and have gone 43-36 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 10.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.7 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in three of those seven.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 42-37-1 so far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 38-36-5.

Zack Greinke is getting the start for Arizona. The right-handed Greinke is 7-5 with a 3.66 ERA and 102 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins are handing the ball to Trevor Richards (2-4, 4.91 ERA), who has 40 strikeouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Richards hasn’t faced the Diamondbacks yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.88 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Miami offense has put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .251/.332/.400 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Marlins’ offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .297/.374/.416 with four home runs, 38 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Castro is hitting .274 with five homers, 30 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.53, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .226/.306/.397 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been paced by left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who collectively have belted 32 home runs. Peralta is hitting .281/.346/.509 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Goldschmidt is slashing .261/.373/.519 with 17 homers, 41 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.7 units and are 27-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 30 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Arizona’s last seven games.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
  • Miami has averaged 23.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have won six of their last seven games SU.