Miami Marlins at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will be taking on the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing this interleague matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Baltimore (-135) as the favorite over Miami (+125). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds listed at -120 for over 9 runs and even money (+100) for under 9. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -170 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +150 for the Orioles -1.5 runs.

The Marlins are only 27-43 SU and have gone 35-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.2 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 19-49 SU and 24-43 ATS. They’ve lost 28.0 units for moneyline bettors and 24.2 units ATS.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 27-38-2 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 35-34.

The left-handed Wei-Yin Chen is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Chen (1-3, 6.13 ERA) has recorded 31 strikeouts in 39.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Orioles are sending righty Alex Cobb (2-8, 7.23 ERA) to the mound. Cobb has 37 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.77. Cobb only made one start against the Marlins in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and two strikeouts across six innings).

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.07, along with a K/9 of 8.43.

Marlins hitters have slashed .234/.304/.353 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Anderson is hitting .307/.383/.439 with four home runs, 34 RBIs and 39 runs scored. Castro (.278/.328/.381) is up to three homers, 25 RBIs and 40 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.30 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.4 runs per contest, including 1.9 per game over its last 10 games and 1.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .176/.282/.253 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led the Orioles’ batters this year. Machado is slashing .306/.377/.574 with 18 home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and the line for Jones stands at .285/.306/.448 with 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 26 runs.

Miami Marlins vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • Miami has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Baltimore has seven XBH over its last five.
  • The Marlins have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Baltimore has posted 14.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.6 over its last five.
  • The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit six over their last 10.