Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will be taking on their divisional foe Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Fox Sports San Diego will be showing the action and the game gets underway at 3:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

San Diego (+155) is entering this one as the underdog against Colorado (-165) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 10 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -130 for the over and +110 for the under. Runline odds sit at -140 for picking the Padres +1.5 runs and +120 for the Rockies -1.5.

The Padres are 50-79 SU and are 60-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.0 units for moneyline bettors and 28.3 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 69-57 SU and 66-59 ATS. The team has gained 13.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Colorado games have had an over/under record of 54-65-6 in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 61-62-5.

Joey Lucchesi will get the start for the visiting Padres. The southpaw Lucchesi (6-7, 3.79 ERA) has racked up 99 strikeouts in 92.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA against Colorado this year (three starts).

The Rockies are turning to lefty Kyle Freeland (11-7, 2.96 ERA), who’s got 129 strikeouts and 56 walks as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Freeland is 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.92 ERA over two starts against San Diego this year.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.29, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.04 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 52 divisional games, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.23 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.49.

The Colorado hitters have put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .288/.335/.457 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Rockies’ hitters have been led by shortstop Trevor Story and third baseman Nolan Arenado. Story is hitting .293/.349/.550 with 26 home runs, 84 RBIs, 66 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Arenado’s line is .309/.391/.576 with 30 homers, 87 RBIs and 81 runs.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.20 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.37 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.47, along with a K-per-9 of 9.95.

The Padres offense has slashed .234/.300/.374 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .259/.323/.401 with 13 home runs, 54 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Galvis is hitting .236/.293/.366 with 11 homers, 54 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 9.7 units and are 14-25 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 6.7 units and are 29-18 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 28 that went under the total.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • San Diego has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Colorado has 18 XBH over its last five.
  • The Rockies have won five of their last six games SU.
  • San Diego fielders have eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Colorado over its last 10.
  • The Padres have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit nine over their last 10.