Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins are ready to face their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The game gets going at 1:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on FB.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Minnesota (+185) is entering this game as the underdog against Cleveland (-200) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -120 for taking the Twins +1.5 runs and +100 for the Indians -1.5.

The Twins have gone 62-70 SU this year and are 68-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 1.3 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 75-57 SU and 63-68 ATS. The team has lost 13.9 units for moneyline bettors and 13.7 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in three of those seven.

Indians games have a 65-60-6 over/under record in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 63-65-3.

The right-handed Jake Odorizzi is projected to start for the visiting Twins. Odorizzi is 5-8 with a 4.38 ERA and 140 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 7.85 ERA against Cleveland this year (four starts).

The Indians are sending righty Mike Clevinger (9-7, 3.30 ERA) to the mound. Clevinger has 163 strikeouts and 55 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Clevinger is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.46 ERA across two starts against Minnesota this year.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.41 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 59 games against AL Central opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.31.

The Cleveland hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .284/.351/.403 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and outfielder Michael Brantley have led the Indians’ offense this year. Lindor is hitting .290/.366/.530 with 29 home runs, 78 RBIs, 109 runs and 20 steals, while Brantley’s line is .302/.357/.463 with 14 homers, 69 RBIs and 74 runs.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.53 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.40.

Twins hitters have slashed .245/.316/.404 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

vLeft fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer have led Minnesota’s offense. Rosario is slashing .291/.329/.484 with 22 home runs, 74 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Mauer (.277/.351/.376) has produced five homers, 39 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 6.7 units and are 48-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 47 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 10.9 units and are 47-51 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 44 that went under the total.

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Minnesota has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cleveland has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • The Minnesota defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Cleveland over its last 10.
  • The Twins have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 12 over their last 10.