Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Betting Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will head east to Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 6:40 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Vegas is listing Cincinnati (-160) as the favorite over San Diego (+150). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -145 for picking the Padres +1.5 runs and +125 for the Reds -1.5.

The Reds are 78-61 against the spread (ATS), but just 59-81 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 8.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.3 units (ATS). The Padres are 55-86 SU and have gone 67-74 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 15.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 27.9 units ATS.

Reds games have an over/under record of 72-63-4 in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 66-70-5.

Eric Lauer is getting the nod for San Diego. Lauer (5-7, 5.01 ERA) has racked up 77 strikeouts in 91.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are going with righty Luis Castillo (8-11, 4.83 ERA), who has 142 strikeouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Castillo is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 7.71 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.50, along with a WHIP of 1.46 and a K-per-9 of 9.95.

Padres hitters have slashed .234/.298/.376 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have paced San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .250/.317/.386 with 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Galvis is hitting .236 with 11 homers, 58 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

For the home team, Cincinnati’s pitchers have yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.20, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .243/.316/.402 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the charge for the Reds’ hitters this year. Gennett is slashing .320/.367/.512 with 22 home runs, 84 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Peraza’s line sits at .284/.325/.404 with 10 homers, 46 RBIs, 74 runs and 20 stolen bases.

The Padres have gained 0.6 units and are 51-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against y starters.

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in only two of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • Cincinnati has recorded 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.