The Cincinnati Reds will do battle against the Philadelphia Phillies at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio is in line to broadcast this NL showdown and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (-120) is hosting this one as the favorite against Philadelphia (+110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Phillies +1.5 runs (-190) and Reds -1.5 runs (+165).
The Phillies are 57-44 SU and have gone 46-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 11.3 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 15.2 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 45-57 SU and 58-43 ATS. They’ve lost 4.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.4 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Reds games have an over/under record of 53-44-4 in 2018. Phillies games have gone under 51 times, gone over 44 times and pushed on five occasions.
Ranger Suarez is getting the nod for the visiting Phils. Suarez has yet to pitch in the majors this year and Philadelphia is hoping that he can handle big-league action.
The Reds are going with righty Tyler Mahle (7-8, 4.32 ERA), who has 101 strikeouts and 46 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.47. Mahle did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 5.21 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
The Cincinnati hitters have produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .195/.279/.348 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ offense has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .318/.367/.507 with 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Peraza is batting .288 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 53 runs and 17 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.92, along with a K/9 of 9.40.
Phillies hitters have slashed .235/.320/.394 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been fueled by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez, who’ve collectively blasted 26 home runs. Herrera is slashing .276/.329/.464 with 18 home runs, 56 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Hernandez (.265/.370/.373) has produced eight homers, 33 RBIs, 65 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 8.3 units and are 35-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 33 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against ies.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER