Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds will do battle against the Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising the matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Both teams have identical moneyline odds (-105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Brewers -1.5 runs (+140) and Reds +1.5 runs (-160).

The Brewers have gone 46-33 SU this year and are 44-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 9.5 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 34-46 SU and 46-33 ATS. They’ve lost 6.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.9 units ATS.

Reds games have an over/under record of 37-39-3 thus far in 2018. The Brewers have been a great under bet with a total record of 30-46-2.

Right-hander Junior Guerra will get the start for Milwaukee. Guerra is 3-5 with a 2.82 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds will turn to righty Anthony DeSclafani (3-1, 4.09 ERA), who has 18 strikeouts and eight walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.36. DeSclafani has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.32, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 35 games against NL Central opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.76 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.96.

The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .274/.375/.464 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Reds’ offense has been led by Scooter Gennett, who is slashing .336/.375/.534 with 13 home runs, 53 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.94 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.74, along with a WHIP of 1.23.

Brewers hitters have slashed .246/.317/.411 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Lorenzo Cain has provided a spark to the Milwaukee offense. Cain is hitting .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 steals.

The Brewers just dropped a 5-4 heartbreaker to the Royals, while the Reds are coming off of a 6-5 win against the Braves.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
  • Cincinnati has posted 27.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.4 over its last five.
  • The Reds have won nine of their last 10 games SU.