Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to the Cincinnati Reds at PNC Park. The game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on ATPT and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Pittsburgh (-145) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+135). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over nine runs and -105 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Reds +1.5 runs (-160) and Pirates -1.5 runs (+140).

The Pirates are 33-35 straight up (SU) and 30-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.6 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Reds are 25-43 SU and have gone 36-32 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 13.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 33-29-6 so far in 2018. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 32-34-2.

Matt Harvey is getting the start for the Reds. The right-handed Harvey (1-4, 5.97 ERA) has racked up 44 strikeouts in 57.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.

The Pirates are turning to righty Chad Kuhl (4-4, 3.95 ERA), who has 69 strikeouts and 27 walks to his credit as well as a 1.36 WHIP. Kuhl is 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA across two starts against Cincinnati this year.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.14 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 29 games against divisional foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.30 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.76.

The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .220/.319/.378 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Dickerson is hitting .310/.343/.464 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Marte is batting .286 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 35 runs and 13 steals.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.58 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.93, along with a WHIP of 1.51.

The Reds offense has slashed .251/.331/.387 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .341/.378/.550 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Votto (.304/.427/.442) is up to six homers, 30 RBIs and 34 runs scored.

The Reds have lost 11.8 units and are 26-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 0.5 units and are 25-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 24 which went under the total.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • Cincinnati has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Pittsburgh has 18 XBH over its last five.
  • The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit five over their last 10.
  • The Cincinnati defense has allowed three errors over its last five games, compared to six errors for Pittsburgh over its last five.