Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Free Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds are playing host to their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase the action and the game gets underway at 12:35 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Cincinnati (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +110 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -130 for the Reds +1.5.

The Brewers are 74-60 SU and are 67-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 3.7 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 57-76 SU and 74-58 ATS. They’ve lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.9 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Reds games have had an over/under record of 68-60-4 in 2018. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 64-65-4.

The southpaw Wade Miley is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Miley is 2-2 with a 2.32 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are turning to lefty Cody Reed (0-1, 3.68 ERA), who has 14 strikeouts and four walks as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Reed is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 5.24 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.27 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 60 games against divisional foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.33.

The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .271/.348/.480 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the Reds’ offense this year. Gennett is hitting .314/.362/.495 with 19 home runs, 79 RBIs and 77 runs scored, and Peraza is hitting .290 with nine homers, 44 RBIs, 71 runs and 20 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.06 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.88, along with a K/9 of 10.06.

The Brewers offense has slashed .253/.322/.422 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is hitting .319/.380/.563 with 26 home runs, 75 RBIs, 93 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .309/.400/.432 with nine homers, 33 RBIs, 71 runs and 24 steals.

The Brewers have lost 4.5 units and are 14-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have netted 6.0 units and are 22-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Milwaukee has logged 24 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cincinnati has 18 XBH over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
  • Cincinnati has posted 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.