Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Free Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins are set to face off against their division rival Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The matchup will begin at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to WGN.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Minnesota (-145) as the favorite over Chicago (+135). The total is sitting at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Twins -1.5 runs (+100) and White Sox +1.5 runs (-120).

The White Sox are 39-39 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 28-51 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.0 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them. The Twins, on the other hand, have gone 34-42 SU this year and are 42-33 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 7.8 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 6.7 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

White Sox games have a 34-39-5 over/under record so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 35-37-3.

Jake Odorizzi is getting the nod for Minnesota. The right-handed Odorizzi (3-5, 4.97 ERA) has racked up 80 punchouts in 79.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 5.23 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).

The White Sox are putting the ball in the right hand of Lucas Giolito (5-7, 7.01 ERA), who has 48 strikeouts and 47 walks this season as well as a 1.61 WHIP. Giolito is 1-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.65 ERA across two starts against Minnesota this year.

Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.22 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.89 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.25, along with a K-per-9 of 9.21.

The Twins offense has slashed .236/.309/.397 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Minnesota’s offensive production has been fueled by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who have combined to belt 29 home runs. Rosario is slashing .312/.351/.567 with 17 home runs, 50 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Escobar has a .288 average with 12 homers, 48 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.16 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 37 divisional games, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.87 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.42.

The Chicago offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .307/.358/.489 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The White Sox hitters have been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is hitting .272/.326/.479 with 12 home runs, 46 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Sanchez’s line is .255/.304/.407 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 30 runs and seven stolen bases.

The Twins have lost 4.8 units and are 30-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 28 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 12.2 units and are 30-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 25 of those games, compared to 30 which went under the total.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Minnesota has recorded 11 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Chicago has 15 XBH over its last five.
  • The Twins have lost five of their last six games SU.
  • Minnesota has posted 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.0 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.