Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Matchup

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Chicago Cubs will head east to play their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. NBC Sports Chicago will be airing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Cincinnati (+145) is coming into this one as the underdog to Chicago (-155) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -110 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -110 for the Reds +1.5.

The Cubs have gone 42-29 SU this year and are 36-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 3.3 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 28-45 SU and 39-33 ATS. The team’s lost 12.6 units for moneyline bettors and 4.7 units ATS.

Reds games have had an over/under record of 34-36-2 so far in 2018. The Cubs have been a good under bet with a total record of 28-41-1.

Kyle Hendricks is getting the start for Chicago. The right-handed Hendricks is 5-6 with a 3.55 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are planning to start righty Matt Harvey (1-5, 5.92 ERA), who’s got 46 strikeouts and 19 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.38. Harvey has yet to face the Cubs this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with an 11.05 ERA.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.39, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 31 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.91 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.34.

The Cincinnati offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .282/.365/.486 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto have paced the Reds’ hitters this year. Gennett is slashing .336/.372/.541 with 13 home runs, 50 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Votto’s line is .298/.426/.450 with seven homers, 36 RBIs and 36 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.40 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.91 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.72, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 9.29.

Cubs hitters have slashed .259/.344/.418 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s offense has been powered by third baseman Kris Bryant and left fielder Albert Almora Jr.. Bryant is slashing .285/.387/.492 with nine home runs, 36 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Almora Jr. is slashing .324/.368/.438 with two homers, 20 RBIs and 38 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 5.0 units and are 28-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 12.4 units and are 28-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 29 that went under the total.

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

      The under has hit in five of Chicago’s last seven games.
      Chicago has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.
      The Cubs have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.