Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Chicago Cubs will play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at Wrigley Field. This NL showdown will begin at 2:20 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago to catch the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Diamondbacks are 56-47 SU and are 53-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.2 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 59-42 SU and 51-49 ATS. They’ve gained 0.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.9 units ATS. Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Cubs games have an over/under record of 48-51-1 in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 46-51-5.

The right-handed Zack Godley will get the nod for the visiting D-backs. Godley is 11-6 with a 4.65 ERA and 114 strikeouts. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 1.54 ERA and 13 strikeouts.

The Cubs will turn to righty Tyler Chatwood (4-5, 4.84 ERA) to the mound. Chatwood has 78 strikeouts and 79 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.75. Chatwood made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 3.21 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Chicago hitters have put up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .237/.320/.301 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Cubs’ batters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr.. Baez is slashing .295/.327/.553 with 19 home runs, 74 RBIs, 63 runs and 19 stolen bases, and Almora Jr. is hitting .320 with four homers, 29 RBIs and 50 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.24 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.94, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .232/.312/.393 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Arizona’s offensive production has been powered by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta, who collectively have blasted 38 home runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .279/.384/.526 with 22 home runs, 54 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Peralta (.288/.346/.495) has produced 16 homers, 53 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have gained 1.5 units and are 35-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 7.3 units and are 37-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 37 of those games, as opposed to 38 which went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in five of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit eight over their last 10.
  • The Arizona defense has allowed three errors over its last five games, compared to zero errors for Chicago over its last five.