Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners are ready to play the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this AL matchup. The first pitch will be at 3:05 p.m. ET.

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Vegas is listing Baltimore (+125) as the underdog to Seattle (-135). The total is sitting at 9.5 runs and gamblers can take the over or the under for -110. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Mariners -1.5 runs (+110) and Orioles +1.5 runs (-130).

The Mariners have gone 50-31 SU this year and are 41-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 16.1 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 0.5 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 23-56 SU and 29-49 ATS. They’ve lost 30.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 26.1 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 32-44-2 thus far in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 40-39-1.

Mike Leake will get the start for the visiting Mariners. The right-handed Leake (8-4, 4.11 ERA) has recorded 60 punchouts in 100.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Orioles will turn to righty Jimmy Yacabonis (0-0, 15.43 ERA) to the mound. Yacabonis has one punchouts and five walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 3.43. Yacabonis did not record a start against the Mariners in 2017.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.11 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.95, along with a K/9 of 9.95.

Mariners hitters have slashed .260/.324/.421 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. The speedy Segura is hitting .338/.367/.484 with six home runs, 44 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Gordon (.286/.306/.354) has produced one homers, 20 RBIs, 37 runs and 21 steals.

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.23, a WHIP of 1.50 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.35 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

Baltimore’s hitters have put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .220/.262/.382 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led the Orioles’ offense this year. Machado is hitting .303/.371/.549 with 19 home runs, 55 RBIs and 39 runs scored, and the line for Jones stands at .288/.312/.443 with 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 33 runs.

The Mariners have gained 16.8 units and are 27-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 23.8 units and are 17-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 28 which went under the total.

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in only two of Seattle’s last seven contests.
  • Baltimore has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 17 over their last 10.