Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free Pick

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are heading north to play their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds

New York (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against Atlanta (-145) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +100 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -120 for the Mets +1.5.

The Braves have gone 54-47 SU this year and are 54-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 1.6 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 43-60 SU and 47-57 ATS. The team has lost 19.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.4 units ATS.

New York games have a 45-54-5 over/under record in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 51-48-4.

Max Fried will get the start for the visiting Braves. The left-handed Fried is 1-4 with a 3.51 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against New York this year.

The Mets are sending lefty Jason Vargas (2-6, 8.36 ERA) to the mound. Vargas has 35 strikeouts and 17 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.79. Vargas is 1-1 with five strikeouts and a 5.59 ERA over two starts against Atlanta this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.01, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 40 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.61 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.37.

The New York hitters have produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .242/.328/.424 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the charge for the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario’s line sits at .237/.280/.357 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine steals.

In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.71 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.75 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.25, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 9.03.

The Braves offense has slashed .258/.328/.419 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who have combined to belt 27 home runs. Markakis is hitting .316/.383/.475 with 10 home runs, 62 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Freeman is hitting .313/.397/.527 with 17 homers, 66 RBIs and 62 runs scored.

The Braves have gained 0.8 units and are 14-18 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Braves have dropped five of their last six games SU.
  • Atlanta fielders have committed seven errors over their last five games, compared to three errors for New York over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.