Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins are squaring off against the Atlanta Braves at Marlins Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will be airing the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+170) as the underdog to Atlanta (-180). The total sits at eight runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -125 for the Braves -1.5 runs and +105 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.

The Marlins are 66-62 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 51-78 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 1.7 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units (ATS). The Braves have gone 72-55 SU this year and are 65-60 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 20.4 units for moneyline bettors and 1.0 unit ATS.

Marlins games have had an over/under record of 65-59-4 in 2018. Braves games have gone under 61 times, gone over 59 times and pushed on five instances.

Mike Foltynewicz will get the nod for Atlanta. The right-handed Foltynewicz (10-7, 2.72 ERA) has recorded 161 strikeouts in 139 innings so far. He’s 2-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 0.69 ERA against Miami this year (two starts).

The Marlins are planning to start righty Dan Straily (4-6, 4.60 ERA), who has 87 punchouts and 50 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.41. Straily is 2-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 4.02 ERA across three starts against Atlanta this year.

Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.57, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 55 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.49.

The Miami offense is putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .280/.359/.461 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Starlin Castro has helped lead the Marlins’ offense this year with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.51 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.12, along with a K-per-9 of 9.22.

Braves hitters have slashed .261/.327/.426 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Nick Markakis has sparked Atlanta’s offense and is slashing .314/.376/.483 with 14 home runs, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Braves just took the previous game in the series by a final score of five runs to zero.

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • The over has cashed in five of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • Atlanta has averaged 21.4 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.