Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

betdsiBaseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to showcase this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (-130) is favored over Atlanta (+120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-110 for both the over and the under). The game’s runline odds sit at -175 for taking the Braves +1.5 runs and +155 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 75-65 straight up (SU) and 71-68 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 8.0 units (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them. The Braves are 77-63 SU and have gone 70-68 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 14.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 1.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Arizona games have a 60-73-6 over/under record in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 64-68-6.

Right-hander Kevin Gausman will get the nod for the visiting Braves. Gausman (9-9, 3.78 ERA) has racked up 130 strikeouts in 162 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks will turn to lefty Patrick Corbin (10-5, 3.01 ERA), who has 214 strikeouts and 41 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.01. Corbin is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.63 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.07, along with a K-per-9 of 9.05.

The Braves offense has slashed .259/.327/.423 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman continue to lead Atlanta’s offense. Markakis is hitting .309/.372/.466 with 14 home runs, 87 RBIs and 73 runs scored, while Freeman (.306/.387/.506) has produced 21 homers, 83 RBIs and 87 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.73, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 8.2.

The Arizona hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 2.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .226/.302/.360 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is slashing .298/.398/.553 with 32 home runs, 81 RBIs and 87 runs scored, and Peralta’s line is .296/.353/.522 with 26 homers, 74 RBIs and 67 runs scored.

The Braves have lost 3.5 units and are 16-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 1.6 units and are 47-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, compared to 47 that went under the total.

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends,

  • The under has cashed in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • Atlanta has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.4 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.