Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Matchup

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will head east to play their division rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the action.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

San Diego (+135) is entering this game as the underdog against Arizona (-145) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (+110 for the over and -130 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at -160 for betting the Padres +1.5 runs and +140 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.

The Padres are only 37-51 SU and are 41-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.8 units for moneyline bettors and 19.9 units ATS. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 48-39 SU and 45-41 ATS. They’ve gained 8.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.0 units ATS.

Diamondbacks games have a 40-41-5 over/under record so far in 2018. The Padres have been a decent under bet with a total record of 39-45-3.

Eric Lauer will get the nod for San Diego. Lauer (3-5, 5.08 ERA) has recorded 54 strikeouts in 62 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks will turn to righty Shelby Miller (0-2, 11.42 ERA), who has 11 strikeouts and three walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 2.08. Miller only made one start against the Padres in 2017 (1-0, 1.23 ERA and five strikeouts across 7.1 innings).

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.54, a WHIP of 1.16 and a K/9 of 7.8. In 33 divisional games, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.99 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.10.

The Arizona hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .261/.333/.358 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Peralta is hitting .284/.348/.505 with 15 home runs, 46 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line is .274/.385/.533 with 19 homers, 48 RBIs and 58 runs.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.64 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.70 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.52, along with a WHIP of 1.43.

Padres hitters have slashed .234/.300/.366 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

San Diego’s offense has been powered by first baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is hitting .267/.343/.422 with nine home runs, 37 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Pirela (.260/.310/.348) is up to two homers, 25 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

The Padres have gained 1.8 units and are 32-29 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of San Diego’s last seven outings.
  • The Padres have lost five of their last six games SU.
  • Arizona has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit four over their last 10.