Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

Victor TrejosBaseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies will make a road trip to Phoenix to play their divisional rival Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will be televising the matchup and the game will get underway at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Vegas is listing Colorado (+120) as the dog to Arizona (-130). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -175 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +155 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 79-74 straight up (SU) and 76-77 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 7.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.6 units (ATS). Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Rockies are 82-70 SU and have gone 77-75 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 11.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.7 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 70-77-6 in 2018. Rockies games have gone under 82 times, gone over 63 times and pushed on seven instances.

The right-handed German Marquez is the probable starter for the visiting Rockies. Marquez is 12-10 with a 3.96 ERA and 199 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 33 strikeouts and a 4.33 ERA against Arizona this year (five starts).

The Diamondbacks are handing the ball to righty Zack Greinke (14-10, 3.20 ERA), who’s got 187 strikeouts and 39 walks to his name, as well as a 1.07 WHIP. Greinke is 3-0 with 32 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA over four starts against Colorado this year.

Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.79 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.59 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 67 games against divisional foes, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.93 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.

The Arizona offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .189/.223/.409 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is hitting .298/.399/.551 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Peralta’s line is .295/.352/.517 with 28 homers, 82 RBIs and 73 runs.

For the visiting squad, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.33 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.49 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.73, along with a K/9 of 9.02.

The Rockies offense has slashed .254/.320/.428 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and shortstop Trevor Story continue to lead Colorado’s hitters. Blackmon is slashing .287/.354/.493 with 27 home runs, 65 RBIs and 109 runs scored, while Story is hitting .288/.343/.550 with 33 homers, 102 RBIs, 81 runs and 26 stolen bases.

The Rockies have gained 8.7 units and are 44-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 43 of those games, as opposed to 46 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 6.3 units and are 50-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of Colorado’s last seven games.
  • The Rockies have dropped five of their last six games SU.
  • Arizona has posted 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 15.8 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 13 over their last 10.