Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

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Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles will head south to face their AL East rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action.

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Bookmakers have Tampa Bay (-225) as the favorite over Baltimore (+205). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to go under 8 runs scored, then Vegas is teeing up -110 odds. Picking the over can return -110 odds. There’s a runline of Orioles +1.5 (-105) and Rays -1.5 (-115) for this matchup.

The Rays are 12-4 straight up (SU) and 12-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 6.7 units for moneyline bettors and 8.5 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, have gone 7-10 SU this year and are 6-10 against the spread. Overall, the team’s gained 2.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, but have lost 3.9 units ATS.

Tampa Bay games have had an over/under record of 5-10-1 so far in 2019. Baltimore has been a decent over bet with a total record of 11-5.

Dylan Bundy will get the start for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Bundy is 0-1 with an 8.76 ERA and 17 strikeouts. He has yet to face Tampa Bay this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 2-2 record with a 6.35 ERA and 21 strikeouts.

The Rays are handing the ball to righty Tyler Glasnow (3-0, 0.53 ERA), who has 21 strikeouts and three walks as well as a WHIP of 0.82. Glasnow only made one start against the Orioles in 2018 (0-0, 2.25 ERA and nine strikeouts across four innings).

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.88 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 6.42 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 7.12, along with a K/9 of 7.98.

Orioles hitters have slashed .230/.305/.376 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led Baltimore’s offense. Mancini is slashing .343/.400/.701 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Villar is hitting .300 with three homers, nine RBIs and 13 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 2.5 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 1.47 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In three games against AL East opponents, Rays starters have an ERA of 0.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 8.10.

The Tampa Bay hitters have put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 6.7 per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .317/.408/.603 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Rays’ offense has been led by Austin Meadows and Brandon Lowe. Meadows is hitting .357/.438/.732 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Lowe’s line is .302/.356/.585 with four homers, 10 RBIs and eight runs.

The Orioles have gained 2.0 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 2.6 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to six that went under the total.

Orioles vs. Rays MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in five of Baltimore’s last seven outings.
  • The Rays have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • Tampa Bay has recorded 27.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 31.8 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 15 over their last 10.
  • The Orioles have a total OPS of .681 this season and an OPS of .692 against right-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS sits at .778 overall and .793 versus righties.