Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies Matchup

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The Baltimore Orioles are paying a visit to Philadelphia to square off against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast this interleague matchup.

Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Baltimore (+140) is entering this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-150) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for betting on the games total stand at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds sitting at -155 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +135 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Phillies are 45-37 straight up (SU) and 36-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 17.6 units (ATS). Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven. On the other hand, the Orioles have gone 24-59 SU this year and are 31-52 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 33.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 26.9 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 37-41-4 so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a decent under bet with a total record of 33-47-3.

The right-handed Alex Cobb is the probable starter for the visiting Orioles. Cobb is 2-9 with a 6.75 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies will turn to righty Zach Eflin (6-2, 3.02 ERA), who has 57 strikeouts and 14 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Eflin did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.84, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.21 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The teams hit .244/.328/.446 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Phillies batters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .283/.337/.475 with 14 home runs, 47 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line sits at .268/.377/.389 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 57 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.17 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.36, along with a WHIP of 1.49.

The Orioles offense has slashed .227/.292/.380 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have paced Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .310/.377/.564 with 21 home runs, 59 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Jones (.287/.313/.437) has produced 10 homers, 32 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 24.8 units and are 18-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 7.5 units and are 27-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 31 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in five of Baltimore’s last seven games.
  • The Phillies have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.