Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

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The Philadelphia Phillies will go for their fourth consecutive win as they play host to the Baltimore Orioles at Citizens Bank Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise this interleague showdown.

Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

The Phillies are 46-37 straight up (SU) and 36-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 17.6 units (ATS). Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Orioles are 24-60 SU and have gone 31-52 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 33.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 26.9 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Phillies games have a 37-41-4 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Orioles have been a good under bet with a total record of 33-47-3.

Yefry Ramirez will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Ramirez is 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies are putting the ball in the right hand of Aaron Nola (10-2, 2.48 ERA, 1.01 WHIP), who has 107 punchouts and 31 walks. Nola did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this year. The clubs starters have a 3.82 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .229/.326/.428 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Phillies offense has been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .280/.333/.469 with 14 home runs, 47 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .266 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 58 runs and 13 steals.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.16 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.34, along with a K/9 of 7.99.

Orioles hitters have slashed .227/.291/.380 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones, who collectively have swatted 31 home runs. Machado is hitting .311/.378/.565 with 21 home runs, 59 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Jones is slashing .284/.309/.432 with 10 homers, 32 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 24.8 units and are 18-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve hit the under against ies.

Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Baltimore has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Philadelphia has 19 XBH over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • Baltimore has recorded 18.5 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.4 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have won five of their last six games SU.