Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Free Pick

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The Baltimore Orioles are set to face off against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in Game 0 of their AL East doubleheader. The matchup will get going at 6:35 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to YES Network to catch the action.

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Odds

New York (-190) is the favorite over Baltimore (+180) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Orioles +1.5 (-125) and Yankees -1.5 (+105).

The Orioles have gone just 14-26 SU this year and are 16-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.1 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the season and 8.6 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 24-16 SU and 20-19 ATS. They’ve lost 2.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.3 units ATS.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 21-17-1 so far in 2019. The Orioles have an over/under record of 20-17-2.

David Hess will get the start for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Hess (1-4, 5.50 ERA) has racked up 27 punchouts in 34.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 5.14 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are sending righty Jonathan Loaisiga (1-1, 4.50 ERA) to the mound. Loaisiga has 13 strikeouts and eight walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.50. Loaisiga hasn’t faced the Orioles yet this year and did not re a start against them in 2018.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.20 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 6.96 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.86, along with a WHIP of 1.37.

The Orioles offense has slashed .237/.300/.391 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been led by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar, who’ve collectively swatted 11 home runs. Mancini is hitting .318/.366/.547 with seven home runs, 16 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Villar has a .261 average with four homers, 16 RBIs, 24 runs and eight stolen bases.

For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.26 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 10.9 K/9. In 11 games against divisional foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 3.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.03.

The New York offense has produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .219/.277/.313 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led the Yankees’ batters so far. LeMahieu is slashing .333/.384/.452 with 45 hits, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Torres has produced a line of .286/.323/.456 with five homers, 17 RBIs and 19 runs.

The Orioles have gained 0.8 units and are 12-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 1.6 units and are 17-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.

Orioles vs. Yankees MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Yankees have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Baltimore has posted 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.6 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • The Orioles have a total OPS of .691 this season and an OPS of .687 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS sits at .766 overall and .787 against righties.