The Baltimore Orioles will face the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. This AL showdown will begin at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports North.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Minnesota (-160) is favored over Baltimore (+150) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (-145) and Twins -1.5 runs (+125).
The Orioles have gone just 24-64 SU this year and are 32-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 37.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 30.5 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 38-48 SU and 47-38 ATS. They’ve lost 12.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 5.8 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Twins games have had an over/under record of 39-43-3 thus far in 2018. Baltimore has been a great under bet with a total record of 33-51-3.
Right-hander Alex Cobb will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Cobb is 2-10 with a 6.53 ERA and 55 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 1.69 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
The Twins are putting the ball in the right hand of Jake Odorizzi (3-6, 4.57 ERA), who’s got 97 punchouts and 43 walks as well as a 1.44 WHIP. Odorizzi is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.
As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this season. The clubs starters have a 4.32 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .222/.272/.364 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led the Twins offense this year. Rosario is slashing .306/.346/.544 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Escobar’s line is .270/.327/.517 with 13 homers, 50 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.15 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.48 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.34, along with a K/9 of 8.13.
Orioles hitters have slashed .227/.291/.378 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the teams last five outings (0-5 SU).
Baltimore’s offense has been powered by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is hitting .310/.380/.557 with 21 home runs, 60 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Jones is slashing .282/.309/.432 with 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 28.8 units and are 19-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 6.2 units and are 33-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 29 of those games, compared to 30 which went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in zero of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Orioles have lost 12 of their last 13 games SU.
- Minnesota has posted 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.0 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 11 over their last 10.
