The Minnesota Twins will do battle against the Baltimore Orioles at Target Field. Fox Sports North will be televising this AL showdown and the opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Baltimore (+235) is entering this game as the underdog to Minnesota (-265) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Orioles +1.5 runs (+105) and Twins -1.5 runs (-125).
The Orioles are only 10-17 SU and are 11-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.3 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the season, despite having lost 4.5 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 14-9 SU and 10-12 ATS. They’ve gained 4.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.8 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Twins games have had an over/under record of 13-9 so far in 2019. Baltimore has been a decent over bet with a total record of 17-9.
The right-handed Dan Straily is projected to start for Baltimore. Straily (1-1, 8.59 ERA) has racked up six strikeouts in 14.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Minnesota this year.
The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Jose Berrios (3-1, 2.97 ERA, 0.93 WHIP), who’s got 33 punchouts and eight walks this season. Berrios is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.
As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.48, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.71 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
Minnesota’s offense has produced 5.5 runs per contest, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .240/.290/.450 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario. Polanco is hitting .349/.406/.663 with five home runs, 10 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .275 with 11 homers, 24 RBIs and 19 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.59 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 6.69 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 6.46, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K-per-9 of 8.25.
The Orioles offense has slashed .244/.310/.402 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Baltimore’s offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is slashing .349/.400/.615 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 23 runs scored. Villar is hitting .282/.352/.427 with three homers, 10 RBIs, 19 runs and six stolen bases.
The Orioles have gained 4.8 units and are 9-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 5.6 units and are 10-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to nine that went under.
Orioles vs. Twins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in five of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Orioles have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 25 over their last 10.
- The Orioles have a total OPS of .712 this season and an OPS of .720 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .836 overall and .843 versus righties.
- Baltimore has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.8 over its last five.
