Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Free Preview

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The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will be televising this AL matchup.

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Minnesota (-150) as the favorite over Baltimore (+140). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -125 or the under for +105. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds coming in at Orioles +1.5 runs (-155) and Twins -1.5 runs (+135).

The Orioles are only 24-63 SU and have gone 32-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 36.4 units for moneyline bettors and 28.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 37-48 SU and 46-38 ATS. They’ve lost 13.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.3 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Minnesota games have an over/under record of 39-42-3 so far in 2018. Orioles games have gone under 50 times, gone over 33 times and pushed on three occasions.

Right-hander Kevin Gausman is projected to start for Baltimore. Gausman (4-6, 4.05 ERA) has recorded 90 punchouts in 102.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA against Minnesota this year.

The Twins are putting the ball in the hands of righty Kyle Gibson (2-6, 3.58 ERA), who has 96 punchouts and 42 walks, as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Gibson is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.15 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.47 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.32, along with a K/9 of 8.12.

The Orioles offense has slashed .227/.291/.378 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 2.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones continue to lead Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is slashing .310/.381/.560 with 21 home runs, 59 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Jones (.283/.309/.431) is up to 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have an ERA of 4.33, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .228/.263/.345 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have paced the Twins hitters this year. Rosario is slashing .310/.350/.551 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Escobar’s line is .270/.327/.518 with 13 homers, 50 RBIs and 39 runs.

The Orioles have lost 27.8 units and are 19-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, as opposed to 33 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 7.2 units and are 32-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 29 which went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in zero of Baltimore’s last seven outings.
  • The Orioles have dropped 11 of their last 12 games SU.
  • Minnesota has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.