The Baltimore Orioles will make a road trip to Minute Maid Park to square off against the Houston Astros. This AL matchup will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to ATTSN Southwest to catch the game.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Baltimore (+265) as the underdog to Houston (-330). If you think this game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -125 odds. Playing the over will return +105 odds. The game’s current runline odds sit at +135 for picking the Orioles +1.5 runs and -155 for the Astros -1.5.
The Astros are 43-21 straight up (SU) and 36-27 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 8.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS. The Orioles have gone 19-43 SU this year and are 25-36 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.5 units ATS.
Astros games have an over/under record of 27-35-1 so far in 2019. The Orioles have an over/under record of 30-28-3.
The right-handed Gabriel Ynoa is getting the start for Baltimore. Ynoa is 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Astros are putting the ball in the right hand of Gerrit Cole (5-5, 3.94 ERA), who’s got 116 punchouts and 20 walks this season as well as a 1.04 WHIP. Cole only made one start against the Orioles in 2018 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, Houston’s pitching staff has yielded 3.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.69, a WHIP of 1.05 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.37 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
Houston’s hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .253/.335/.423 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Astros’ offense has been led by left fielder Michael Brantley and third baseman Alex Bregman. Brantley is hitting .329/.387/.532 with 10 home runs, 38 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Bregman’s line is .281/.396/.567 with 18 homers, 44 RBIs and 43 runs.
For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.57 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.11 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.82, along with a K/9 of 8.71.
Orioles hitters have slashed .239/.301/.405 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Mancini is slashing .306/.359/.556 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 42 runs scored. Villar (.257/.316/.411) has produced seven homers, 25 RBIs, 36 runs and 12 stolen bases.
The Orioles have lost 6.2 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 1.4 units and are 24-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.
Orioles at Astros Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Orioles have an OPS of .706 this season and an OPS of .695 against right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS sits at .829 overall and .811 versus righties.
- The Orioles have lost four of their last five games SU while the Astros have won six of their last seven.
- Houston has posted 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.6 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
