Trey Mancini and the slumping Baltimore Orioles are ready to face off against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field in a Friday showdown. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this AL matchup and the game is slated to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians Odds
Baltimore (+160) is the underdog to Cleveland (-170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). There’s a runline of Orioles +1.5 (-135) and Indians -1.5 (+115) for this matchup.
The Orioles are just 14-29 SU and are 17-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 9.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 23-19 SU and 19-22 ATS. The team’s lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.5 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 17-24 so far in 2019. Baltimore has an over/under record of 20-20-2.
The right-handed Dylan Bundy will get the nod for Baltimore. Bundy is 1-5 with a 5.31 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and nine strikeouts over six innings).
The Indians are handing the ball to righty Jefry Rodriguez (1-2, 2.92 ERA), who has 15 strikeouts and eight walks as well as a WHIP of 1.18. Rodriguez only made one start against the Orioles in 2018 (0-0, 9.00 ERA and six strikeouts across five innings).
Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.25 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.13, along with a K/9 of 8.71.
The Orioles offense has slashed .237/.298/.392 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Baltimore’s offensive production has been fueled by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar, who collectively have belted 13 home runs. Mancini is hitting .313/.362/.563 with nine home runs, 20 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Villar (.256/.313/.392) has produced four homers, 16 RBIs, 26 runs and nine stolen bases.
For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.05 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.96, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 8.5.
The Cleveland hitters have put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .268/.368/.482 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Carlos Santana and right fielder Leonys Martin have led the Indians’ offense so far. Santana is hitting .277/.378/.426 with five home runs, 24 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Martin’s line is .229/.315/.389 with six homers, 12 RBIs and 23 runs.
The Orioles have gained 1.3 units and are 13-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 2.4 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 19 which went under the total.
Orioles vs. Indians Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in just one of Baltimore’s last seven contests.
- The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
- Cleveland has posted 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Orioles have an OPS of .690 this season and an OPS of .698 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .672 overall and .657 versus righties.
