Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Free Preview

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The Baltimore Orioles will be squaring off against their divisional rival Boston Red Sox in a Monday night game. The matchup will begin at 11:05 a.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Boston (-240) as the favorite over Baltimore (+220). If you think the game’s total will go under 10.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering even money odds (+100). Playing the over will give you -120 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +100 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and -120 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.

The Red Sox are 6-10 straight up (SU) and 2-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.1 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 6-10 SU and have gone 6-9 against the spread. Overall, the club has gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, but have lost 2.9 units ATS.

Red Sox games have an over/under record of 10-4-1 so far in 2019. Orioles games have gone over 11 times, gone under four times and pushed on zero instances.

Dan Straily will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Straily is 0-1 with a 19.29 ERA. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Red Sox will turn to righty Hector Velazquez (0-0, 2.79 ERA), who has nine strikeouts and zero walks, along with a 1.03 WHIP. Velazquez is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.

Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 6.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 7.34, a WHIP of 1.66 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.7 K/9. In five games against divisional opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 5.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.42.

The Boston hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .247/.333/.432 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi have paced the Red Sox hitters so far. Martinez is hitting .333/.412/.550 with 20 hits, nine RBIs and nine runs scored, while Benintendi’s line is .293/.364/.448 with 17 hits, six RBIs and six runs.

For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.09 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 6.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 7.53, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K-per-9 of 8.18.

The Orioles offense has slashed .226/.297/.365 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been led by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is slashing .339/.400/.710 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Villar (.299/.338/.493) is up to three homers, eight RBIs and 11 runs scored.

The Orioles have gained 2.0 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 8.3 units and are 2-9 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to four that went under the total.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in six of Baltimore’s last seven outings.
  • The Orioles have a total OPS of .662 this season and an OPS of .664 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .710 overall and .683 against righties.
  • The Red Sox have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Baltimore has posted 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.2 over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.