Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles will do battle against their division rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in a Sunday showdown. The matchup will get going at 3:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the game.
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Odds
The Orioles have gone 54-107 SU this year and are 69-91 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 20.3 units for moneyline bettors and 28.6 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 83-78 SU and 67-93 ATS. They’ve lost 27.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 35.6 units ATS.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 91-66-3 in 2019. Baltimore has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 81-67-12.
The right-handed Chandler Shepherd will get the start for the visiting Orioles. Shepherd is 0-0 with a 7.71 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Red Sox will deploy lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (19-6, 3.80 ERA) to the mound. Rodriguez has 205 punchouts and 73 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Rodriguez is 3-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA across three starts against Baltimore this year.
Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.58 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.79, along with a WHIP of 1.41 and a K/9 of 8.63.
The Orioles offense has slashed .247/.312/.416 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini continue to lead Baltimore’s hitters. Villar is hitting .274/.339/.455 with 24 home runs, 72 RBIs, 111 runs and 40 steals, while Mancini (.291/.364/.537) is up to 35 homers, 96 RBIs and 106 runs scored.
For the home team, Boston’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. In 75 games against AL East opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 5.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.17.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.6 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .288/.351/.469 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Red Sox batters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .308/.359/.553 with 32 home runs, 115 RBIs and 128 runs scored, while Bogaerts has produced a line of .309/.383/.556 with 33 homers, 116 RBIs and 109 runs.
Orioles at Red Sox Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Baltimore has recorded 22 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 16 XBH over its last five.
- Baltimore has recorded 26.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 29.6 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
- The Orioles have an OPS of .728 this season and an OPS of .743 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .808 overall and .788 against southpaws.
