The New York Yankees are playing host to the Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium. The action will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the game.
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Odds
Baltimore (-115) is entering this game as the favorite over New York (-105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +187 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and -205 for the Yankees -1.5.
The Orioles have gone 3-6 SU this year and are 3-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the year and 2.7 units ATS. The Yankees are 5-4 SU and 4-4 ATS. They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 1.8 units ATS.
Yankees games have had an over/under record of 4-4 so far in 2018. Baltimore has an over/under record of 2-6.
The Orioles have gained 0.6 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to one that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 4.0 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in three of those games, as opposed to three which went under the total.
Right-hander Mike Wright Jr. (0-0, 5.40 ERA) will get the nod for Baltimore. Wright Jr. struck out 28 hitters across 24 innings last year (zero starts) but finished the season 0-0 overall with a 5.76 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP.
The Yankees are rolling with lefty Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 1.80 ERA) as their starter. Montgomery recorded 144 strikeouts over 155 innings last year (with 51 walks), while finishing the season 9-7 overall with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. He recorded five starts against the Orioles a year ago and compiled a 2-1 record with a 2.67 ERA and 30 strikeouts.
New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 2.74, a WHIP of 1.05 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 4.93 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 13.5 K/9. In nine games against AL East foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 2.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.93.
The New York hitters have put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .235/.350/.406 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Yankees hitters have been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is hitting .367/.513/.900 with 11 hits, 10 RBIs and 10 runs scored, and Judge is batting .273 with nine hits, seven RBIs and seven runs.
Judge performed well against righty pitching at home last season. Across 257 such plate appearances, he slashed .318/.424/.771 (compared to his total season line of .284/.422/.627).
For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.94 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.99 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.66, along with a WHIP of 1.46 and a K-per-9 of 8.84.
Orioles hitters have slashed .193/.270/.336 on their way to 3.2 runs scored per game this season, including over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is hitting .306/.405/.528 with 11 hits, four RBIs and four runs scored, while Alvarez (.250/.438/.583) is up to three hits, five RBIs and two runs scored.
Machado seemed to take a step back when hitting on the road in 2017. Across 336 plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .229/.268/.398 (compared to his overall season line of .260/.311/.473).
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The Orioles went 7-12 SU against the Yankees last season.
- The Orioles bullpen posted an ERA of 6.38 against the Yankees last year.
