Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Free Pick

betdsiArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the Baltimore Orioles at SunTrust Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Odds

Baltimore (+120) is entering this one as the underdog to Atlanta (-130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the games total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds sitting at -175 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +155 for the Braves -1.5.

The Orioles are 22-52 SU and are 26-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 30.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 26.4 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 43-31 SU and 41-31 ATS. They’ve gained 17.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Atlanta games have an over/under record of 34-35-3 so far in 2018. Orioles games have gone under 42 times, gone over 29 times and pushed on two occasions.

Dylan Bundy will get the start for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Bundy (5-7, 3.81 ERA) has recorded 100 strikeouts in 89.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Braves are putting the ball in the right hand of Julio Teheran (5-4, 3.97 ERA), who has 67 strikeouts and 36 walks this season as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Teheran did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.

Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.31 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .247/.301/.443 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis have paced the Braves hitters this year. Freeman is slashing .331/.417/.575 with 15 home runs, 51 RBIs, 48 runs and six steals, while Markakis is hitting .323 with eight homers, 45 RBIs and 44 runs.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.22 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.75 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.28, along with a K/9 of 8.16.

The Orioles offense has slashed .228/.295/.380 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .305/.374/.561 with 19 home runs, 55 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Jones (.291/.314/.449) has produced 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 30 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 22.9 units and are 16-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 13.9 units and are 29-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 19 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve cashed the under.

Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of Baltimore’s last seven games.
  • The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
  • Atlanta has posted 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.6 over its last five.