Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

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The Atlanta Braves are trying to avoid dropping their fourth straight game as they play host to the Baltimore Orioles at SunTrust Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing this interleague matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (-195) is favored over Baltimore (+182) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds standing at Orioles +1.5 runs (-120) and Braves -1.5 runs (+100).

The Braves are 43-32 straight up (SU) and 41-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.9 units for moneyline bettors and 8.6 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Orioles have gone 23-52 SU this year and are 27-47 ATS. In total, the teams lost 28.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 25.4 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Atlanta games have an over/under record of 35-35-3 so far in 2018. Baltimore has been a good under bet with a total record of 30-42-2.

David Hess is getting the start for the Orioles. The right-handed Hess is 2-3 with a 4.82 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Braves are putting the ball in the right hand of Brandon McCarthy (5-3, 4.89 ERA), who has 60 strikeouts and 21 walks this season as well as a 1.49 WHIP. McCarthy did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.

Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 3.42 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Atlanta hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .272/.341/.455 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves hitters this year. Markakis is slashing .326/.391/.483 with eight home runs, 48 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Freeman is hitting .328 with 15 homers, 51 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.18 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.31, along with a WHIP of 1.50 and a K-per-9 of 8.18.

Orioles hitters have slashed .228/.295/.380 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .306/.375/.566 with 19 home runs, 55 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Jones (.293/.316/.453) is up to 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 22.9 units and are 16-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 12.1 units and are 29-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 25 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • The Orioles have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • Baltimore has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.