Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals Free Preview

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The Baltimore Orioles will be squaring off against the Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City is in line to televise this AL showdown and the opening pitch will be at 7:15 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals Odds

Kansas City (-115) is favored over Baltimore (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -200 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +170 for the Royals -1.5 runs.

The Orioles have gone 40-95 SU this year and are 56-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 45.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 32.2 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Royals, on the other hand, are 43-91 SU and 64-69 ATS. They’ve lost 30.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.3 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.

Kansas City games have an over/under record of 57-66-10 in 2018. Baltimore has also been a good under bet with a total record of 58-71-5.

The right-handed Dylan Bundy will get the start for Baltimore. Bundy is 7-13 with a 5.37 ERA and 147 strikeouts. He has yet to face Kansas City this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 1.29 ERA and 13 strikeouts.

The Royals are going with Heath Fillmyer (2-1, 4.21 ERA), who’s got 30 punchouts and 25 walks to his name, as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Fillmyer did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

Kansas City’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.19 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.18 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.3 K/9.

Kansas City’s offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .351/.401/.631 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Royals’ hitters have been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and catcher Salvador Perez. Merrifield is hitting .310/.377/.443 with 10 home runs, 48 RBIs, 67 runs and 29 stolen bases, while Perez’s line is .235/.274/.438 with 23 homers, 65 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.41 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.11 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.78, along with a K-per-9 of 8.20.

The Orioles offense has slashed .238/.301/.396 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado continue to lead Baltimore’s hitters. Jones is hitting .285/.317/.431 with 14 home runs, 55 RBIs and 50 runs scored. Machado (.315/.387/.575) has produced 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Royals have lost 26.3 units and are 41-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in three of Kansas City’s last seven games.
  • The Royals have won five of their last six games SU.
  • The Baltimore defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to three errors for Kansas City over its last five.
  • The Orioles have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.