Ball State Cardinals vs. Bowling Green Falcons ATS Prediction 03/14/19

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The Ball State Cardinals (16-16, 7-12 MAC) clash against the Bowling Green Falcons (20-11, 12-6 MAC) in the Mid-American Conference Tourney at Quicken Loans Arena. The game is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 14, 2019.

Ball State Cardinals vs. Bowling Green Falcons ATS Odds

In their last matchup, the Cardinals (2.5-point underdogs) covered in a 61-43 win over the Eastern Michigan Eagles. The Falcons were defeated by the 19th-ranked Buffalo Bulls, 84-73, but did cover as 13.5-point underdogs. The Ball State game finished 28 points under the projected point total of 132, while the Bowling Green game finished 7 points under the projected point total of 164.

Ball State played a nearly perfect game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.286 (above their season average of 0.267) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.480 (below their season average of 0.523). For those same stats, Eastern Michigan was 0.157 and 0.343, respectively. Bowling Green, on the other hand, did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (17-23; 73.9 percent). Bowling Green was led by Justin Turner, who recorded 17 points. Tayler Persons led the way for Ball State, finishing with 12 points, six rebounds and five assists.

Of the Cardinals’ 31 games that accepted bets, 16 have finished under the total. Ball State comes into the contest with records of 16-16 straight up (SU) and 13-18 against the spread (ATS).

Falcons games have typically finished over the O/U total (58.6 percent). Further, Bowling Green is 20-11 SU and 16-11-2 ATS.

Ball State could struggle to create turnovers. Bowling Green ranks 57th in the country at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.8 percent), while Ball State forces the 237th-most turnovers (18.0 percent).

Ball State Cardinals vs. Bowling Green Falcons ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Bowling Green, ATS Winner – Bowling Green, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Bowling Green ranks fifth in rebounds per game (41.3) while Ball State ranks 172nd in rebounds allowed per game (35.5).
  • The Cardinals rank 132nd in three pointers allowed per game (21.8) while the Falcons rank 285th (26.3).
  • Bowling Green averages 6.8 steals per game, which ranks 84th in the nation. Ball State ranks 162nd in steals allowed per game (6.8).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Falcons are 1-3-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Cardinals are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Bowling Green has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Ball State has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Falcons have scored an average of 74.6 points per game (3.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 84.2 points per game (11.4 above their season average).
  • The Cardinals have been outscored by an average of 0.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Ball State has defeated opponents by an average of 4.0 points.