Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. New Mexico State Aggies ATS Prediction 01/12/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, College Basketball

A six-game home winning streak is on the line for the New Mexico State Aggies (12-4, 1-1 WAC) when they challenge the Bakersfield Roadrunners (11-5, 3-0 WAC) at Pan American Center. Action starts at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.

Bakersfield Roadrunners at New Mexico State Aggies ATS Odds

Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Aggies barely escaped the Grand Canyon Antelopes 77-75, while the Roadrunners beat the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 75-69.

Bakersfield played a nearly perfect game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 40.9 (above their season average of 38.2) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.458 (below their season average of 0.503). UT Rio Grande Valley was 20.0 and 0.431, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, New Mexico State’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Grand Canyon. The Aggies had a rate of 0.575 (above their season average of 0.512), while the Antelopes posted a mark of 0.542. Ivan Aurrecoechea put together a good outing for New Mexico State with 20 points and 11 rebounds. Bakersfield, meanwhile, was led by James Suber, who had 13 points and 11 rebounds.

The Aggies dominated this series last year, taking both contests. In the most recent contest, New Mexico State won 69-43. New Mexico State won the rebounding battle. The Aggies had 18 offensive rebounds and 53 total rebounds, while the Roadrunners had 12 and 38, respectively. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Based on historical performance heading into this one, ball protection could play an integral role in this matchup. New Mexico State commits the 50th-fewest miscues in the nation (turnover percentage of 16.7 percent), while the pesky defense of Bakersfield forces the 34th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.3 percent). Moreover, the Roadrunners rank ninth in offensive rebounding percentage (38.4 percent), while the Aggies rank eighth in defensive rebounding percentage (77.6 percent).

Bakersfield Roadrunners at New Mexico State Aggies Free Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – New Mexico State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • New Mexico State ranks 24th in three pointers attempted per game (27.9) while Bakersfield ranks 156th (22.1).
  • The Aggies allow the 13th-fewest steals per game (4.7) while the Roadrunners rank 31st (5.2).
  • Bakersfield allows the eighth-fewest blocks per game (2.0) while New Mexico State ranks 26th (2.4).
  • The Aggies rank third in assists allowed per game (8.9) while the Roadrunners rank 97th (12.7).
  • New Mexico State ranks 13th in rebounds allowed per game (30.3) while Bakersfield ranks 38th (31.9).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Aggies have scored an average of 75.8 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.6 points per game (4.6 above their season average).
  • The Roadrunners have been outscored by an average of 2.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Bakersfield has defeated opponents by an average of 2.4 points.