Auburn Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks ATS Prediction 03/15/19

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The 22nd-ranked Auburn Tigers (23-9, 12-7 SEC) face off against the South Carolina Gamecocks (16-15, 11-7 SEC) in the Southeastern Conference Tourney at Bridgestone Arena. The game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Friday, March 15, 2019, and will air on ESPN.

Auburn Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Gamecocks (6-point favorites) defeated the Georgia Bulldogs 66-46 in their last game, while the Tigers (2.5-point underdog) beat the Missouri Tigers 81-71 in their last matchup. The South Carolina game finished 31.5 points under the projected point total of 143.5, while the Auburn game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 147.5.

Auburn dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a turnover percentage of 14.0 (better than their season average of 15.2) and a free throw rate of 0.254 (above their season average of 0.223). Missouri was 19.4 and 0.192, respectively, for those same stats. South Carolina, meanwhile, played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.4 (better than their season average of 16.3) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.7 (below their season average of 31.9). For those same stats, Georgia recorded marks of 26.3 and 24.3, respectively. Chris Silva put together a solid game for South Carolina with 24 points and 10 rebounds. Auburn rallied around Horace Spencer, who had 11 points and 10 rebounds.

Vegas is extremely precise when predicting totals of Tigers games, with an even split between overs and unders. Auburn holds records of 23-9 straight up (SU) and 15-13-2 against the spread (ATS).

Games involving the Gamecocks have a tendency to go over the total (60.0 percent). Moreover, South Carolina is 16-15 SU and 14-16 ATS.

South Carolina might struggle to put up points as they square off against one of the country’s best defenses. Auburn currently ranks 80th in defensive efficiency while the Gamecocks rank 227th in offensive efficiency. Moreover, the Tigers rank 35th in offensive rebounding percentage (33.9 percent), while the Gamecocks rank 301st in defensive rebounding percentage (68.6 percent).

Auburn Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Pick

Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – South Carolina, ATS Winner – South Carolina, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Auburn ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (29.7) while South Carolina ranks 230th (20.5).
  • The Tigers rank 161st in rebounds per game (35.3) while the Gamecocks rank 225th in rebounds allowed per game (36.7).
  • Auburn averages 14.7 assists per game, which ranks 68th in the nation. South Carolina ranks 91st in assists allowed per game (12.2).
  • The Tigers rank 14th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Gamecocks rank 173rd in blocks allowed per game (3.9).
  • Auburn ranks seventh in steals per game (9.1) while South Carolina ranks 150th in steals allowed per game (6.6).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Tigers are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Gamecocks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Auburn has 3 overs and 2 unders, while South Carolina has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 77.8 points per game (0.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 72.2 points per game (5.7 above their season average).
  • The Gamecocks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 0.6 for the season.