Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Free Prediction 03/05/19

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (17-12, 8-8 SEC) close out their home schedule at Coleman Coliseum against the Auburn Tigers (20-9, 9-7 SEC). Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 5, 2019, and can be seen on ESPNU.

Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Odds

In their last contest, the Crimson Tide were beaten by the 13th-ranked LSU Tigers, 74-69, while the Tigers were victorious over the Mississippi State Bulldogs, 80-75.

Auburn dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 14.1 (better than their season average of 15.5) and a free throw rate of 0.373 (above their season average of 0.216). For those same stats, Mississippi State had marks of 21.4 and 0.309, respectively. Alabama, meanwhile, held LSU to an effective field goal percentage of 0.455 (below their season average of 0.518). Alabama rallied around Donta Hall, who had 14 points and 10 rebounds. Bryce Brown, meanwhile led the way for Auburn, putting up 24 points.

In their first matchup this season, Jared Harper led the Tigers to an 84-63 win. He recorded 19 points and five assists. The Tigers’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Crimson Tide. Auburn had a rate of 16.8, while Alabama posted a mark of 27.7.

This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Alabama. Alabama ranks 226th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 19.3 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Auburn forces the most turnovers in the nation (25.5 percent).

Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Pick

Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Alabama, ATS Winner – Alabama, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Auburn ranks ninth in steals per game (9.0) while Alabama ranks 234th (4.4).
  • The Crimson Tide rank 61st in rebounds per game (37.6) while the Tigers rank 158th in rebounds allowed per game (35.2).
  • Alabama ranks 39th in assists allowed per game (11.2) while Auburn ranks 77th (12.0).
  • The Tigers rank seventh in three pointers attempted per game (29.5) while the Crimson Tide rank 200th (21.0).
  • Auburn averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 13th in the NCAA. Alabama ranks 171st in blocks allowed per game (4.0).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 70.8 points per game (6.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.8 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
  • The Crimson Tide have been outscored by an average of 3.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Alabama has defeated opponents by an average of 1.6 points.